It is plainly obvious our assortment of weather models are having a difficult time honing in on a consensus solution with the western half of the Caribbean. All models seem to develop a weak surface low to some extent but certainly are not going hog wild with a full blown tropical system. Conditions at the moment are not favorable for organization and development with persistent wind shear ripping across the Caribbean associated with an upper level trough. That said, it does appear shear will relax somewhat later in the week and this area could become a little more favorable. I'll attach an image off the overnight run of the GFS model for this upcoming Friday. Clearly we still have a circulation but it's not as deep or organized as some past model runs. This is not to say we can discount this long range forecast... given time of year, climatology and a somewhat improved environment by week's end into the weekend, it certainly will merit our attention.
And last but not least... not sure how many Detroit Red Wing hockey fans are out there but wow, welcome back Pavel Datsyuk!! I've been a loyal fan for years of this club going back to the rookie days of Steve Yzerman and will admit I was offly queasy going into game 5. Little did I know just how much Datsyuk brings to this team. My fingers are crossed it will solve the Igloo riddle in game 6 and we can hoist a back-to-back Stanley Cup trophy!
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