The most impressive "non" official tropical system

Watching the past few days an area of disturbed weather in the central Atlantic has really been astonishing. I can't recall the last time I felt a disturbed area of weather was on the verge of seeing an upgrade to a depression or even skipping to a tropical storm.



Essentially, each day we've seen the development of nocturnal thunderstorms into a large mesoscale convective complex. With warm ocean water and a fairly good environment to take this MCC to the next level as a functioning depression or tropical storm, we'd typically see surface pressures fall with the development of a low level circulation. Instead, for the second straight day I've been on-air discussing how close we are to an upgrade only to watch the low level circulation not enclose... incredible.


















I'll attach a chart showcasing satellite estimated wind speeds and direction within this large expansive complex of storms. Indeed, we can see evidence of a trough of low pressure with the wave but not the closed circulation we'd expect to see. I drew flow pattern arrows on to the image to better illustrate the morning circulation roughly 10 meters above the surface.



















Hurricane hunters will perform an air recon mission today to investigate this complex / disturbed area of weather further. We shall see if I'll be going on-air for a third straight day to talk about the "soon to be tropical depression or storm"... impressive.